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  • Published: 14 January 2019

Multivariate genome-wide analyses of the well-being spectrum

  • Bart M. L. Baselmans 1 , 2 ,
  • Rick Jansen   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-3333-6737 3 , 4 ,
  • Hill F. Ip   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1991-5019 1 ,
  • Jenny van Dongen   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-2063-8741 1 , 2 ,
  • Abdel Abdellaoui 2 , 5 ,
  • Margot P. van de Weijer 1 ,
  • Yanchun Bao   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6102-5098 6 ,
  • Melissa Smart 6 ,
  • Meena Kumari 6 ,
  • Gonneke Willemsen 1 , 2 , 4 ,
  • Jouke-Jan Hottenga 1 , 2 , 4 ,
  • BIOS consortium ,
  • Social Science Genetic Association Consortium ,
  • Dorret I. Boomsma 1 , 2 , 4 ,
  • Eco J. C. de Geus   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6022-2666 1 , 2 , 4 ,
  • Michel G. Nivard   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-2015-1888 1 , 2   na1 &
  • Meike Bartels   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-9667-7555 1 , 2 , 4   na1  

Nature Genetics volume  51 ,  pages 445–451 ( 2019 ) Cite this article

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We introduce two novel methods for multivariate genome-wide-association meta-analysis (GWAMA) of related traits that correct for sample overlap. A broad range of simulation scenarios supports the added value of our multivariate methods relative to univariate GWAMA. We applied the novel methods to life satisfaction, positive affect, neuroticism, and depressive symptoms, collectively referred to as the well-being spectrum ( N obs  = 2,370,390), and found 304 significant independent signals. Our multivariate approaches resulted in a 26% increase in the number of independent signals relative to the four univariate GWAMAs and in an ~57% increase in the predictive power of polygenic risk scores. Supporting transcriptome- and methylome-wide analyses (TWAS and MWAS, respectively) uncovered an additional 17 and 75 independent loci, respectively. Bioinformatic analyses, based on gene expression in brain tissues and cells, showed that genes differentially expressed in the subiculum and GABAergic interneurons are enriched in their effect on the well-being spectrum.

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Code availability

N-GWAMA and MA-GWAMA software is available at: https://github.com/baselmans/multivariate_GWAMA/

Data availability

Summary Statistics excluding results from 23AndMe can be downloaded from https://surfdrive.surf.nl/files/index.php/s/Ow1qCDpFT421ZOO . The data transfer agreement with 23AndMe stipulates that we can publish effect sizes associated with 10,000 SNPs. These summary statistics can be downloaded from https://surfdrive.surf.nl/files/index.php/s/Ow1qCDpFT421ZOO . For 23AndMe dataset access, see https://research.23andme.com/dataset-access/ . The Understanding Society data are distributed by the UK Data Service. The genome-wide scan data were analyzed and deposited by the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute. Information on how to access the data can be found on the Understanding Society website at https://www.understandingsociety.ac.uk/ . Genotype-trait data access for UKHLS is available by application to Metadac through http://www.metadac.ac.uk/ .

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Acknowledgements

We thank all participants in the cohort studies. This work was supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO: MagW/ZonMW grants 904‐61‐090, 985‐10‐002,904‐61‐193,480‐04‐004, 400‐05‐717, NWO‐bilateral agreement 463‐06‐001, NWO‐VENI 451‐04‐034, Addiction‐31160008, Middelgroot‐911‐09‐032, Spinozapremie 56‐464‐14192), Biobanking and Biomolecular Resources Research Infrastructure (BBMRI –NL, 184.021.007), the VU University’s Institute for Health and Care Research (EMGO + ) and Neuroscience Campus Amsterdam (NCA), the European Science Council (ERC Advanced, 230374), the Avera Institute for Human Genetics, Sioux Falls, South Dakota (USA) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH, R01D0042157‐01A). Part of the genotyping was funded by the Genetic Association Information Network (GAIN) of the Foundation for the US National Institutes of Health (NIMH, MH081802) and by the Grand Opportunity grants 1RC2MH089951‐01 and 1RC2 MH089995‐01 from the NIMH. Part of the analyses were carried out on the Genetic Cluster Computer ( http://www.geneticcluster.org/ ), which is financially supported by the Netherlands Scientific Organization (NWO 480‐05‐003), the Dutch Brain Foundation, and the department of Behavioural and Movement Sciences of the VU University Amsterdam. M.B. is/was financially supported by a senior fellowship of the (EMGO + ) Institute for Health and Care and a VU University Research Chair position. This work is supported by an ERC consolidator grant (WELL-BEING 771057 PI Bartels). M.G.N. is supported by a ZonMw grant: ‘Genetics as a research tool: A natural experiment to elucidate the causal effects of social mobility on health’ (pnr: 531003014), ZonMw project: ‘Can sex- and gender-specific gene expression and epigenetics explain sex-differences in disease prevalence and etiology?’ (pnr:849200011) and grant R01AG054628 02S. Understanding Society is an initiative funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ES/H029745/1) and various Government Departments, with scientific leadership by the Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, and survey delivery by NatCen Social Research and Kantar Public. The BIOS and SSGAC consortia are acknowledged as banner-coauthors for the key role their previous work played. A detailed description of their role and membership appears in the Supplementary Note .

Author information

These authors jointly supervised this work: Michel G. Nivard, Meike Bartels.

A list of members and affiliations appears in the Supplementary Note.

Authors and Affiliations

Department of Biological Psychology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Bart M. L. Baselmans, Hill F. Ip, Jenny van Dongen, Margot P. van de Weijer, Gonneke Willemsen, Jouke-Jan Hottenga, Dorret I. Boomsma, Eco J. C. de Geus, Michel G. Nivard & Meike Bartels

Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Bart M. L. Baselmans, Jenny van Dongen, Abdel Abdellaoui, Gonneke Willemsen, Jouke-Jan Hottenga, Dorret I. Boomsma, Eco J. C. de Geus, Michel G. Nivard & Meike Bartels

Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Rick Jansen

Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Rick Jansen, Gonneke Willemsen, Jouke-Jan Hottenga, Dorret I. Boomsma, Eco J. C. de Geus & Meike Bartels

Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Abdel Abdellaoui

Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, Colchester, UK

Yanchun Bao, Melissa Smart & Meena Kumari

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BIOS consortium

Social science genetic association consortium, contributions.

M.B., M.G.N., and B.M.L.B. oversaw the study. The theory underlying N-GWAMA and MA-GWAMA was developed by M.G.N., with contributions from B.M.L.B and M.B. Simulations were performed by B.M.LB. and M.G.N. The N-GWAMA and MA-GWAMA software was developed by B.M.L.B., H.F.I., and M.G.N. Data analyses were conducted by B.M.L.B., R.J., H.F.I., J.v.D., A.A., M.P.v.d.W., Y.B., and M.G.N. Data curation was done by R.J., Y.B., MS., M.K., G.W., J.-J.H., E.J.C.d.G., D.I.B., and M.B. The manuscript was written by B.M.L.B., M.G.N., and M.B., with helpful contributions from E.J.C.d.G. All authors provided input and revisions for the final manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Michel G. Nivard or Meike Bartels .

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Integrated supplementary information

Supplementary figure 1 simulation scenarios performed for n-gwama and ma gwama..

Plot of nine simulation scenarios in which the rg between the four traits varied between .1 and .9 (X-axis). The red line represents the mean Pearson’s correlation (of the four traits) between the Beta’s of the univariate GWAMA and the true effects. Blue represents the correlation of the beta’s obtained from the N-GWAMA with the true effects. Green represents the correlation of the beta’s obtained from the MA-GWAMA and the true effects

Supplementary Figure 2 Flowchart of the study design.

Flowchart of the study design showing the trait-specific studies that were combined in the four univariate GWAMA’s: Life Satisfaction, Positive Affect, Neuroticism, and Depressive Symptoms

Supplementary Figure 3 Manhattan plots of univariate GWAMAs.

The result of polygenic risk prediction based on univariate discovery GWAMA, N-weighted discovery GWAMA, or model averaging discovery GWAMA. The unit on the y -axis is the R-squared in percentage, obtained from a regression of the trait on the PRS, age, sex and 10 principle components. ( a ) life satisfaction, ( b ) positive affect, (c) neuroticism, ( d ) depressive symptoms. The x-axis represents the chromosomal position, and the y-axis represents the significance on a –log10 scale.” Sample size of the included traits are displayed in Supplementary Table 3 . The top dashed line represents the significant threshold (p < 5 X 10 −8 )

Supplementary Figure 4 Polygenic risk prediction based on univariate discovery GWAMA, N-weighted discovery GWAMA, or model averaging discovery GWAMA.

The result of polygenic risk prediction based on univariate discovery GWAMA, N-weighted discovery GWAMA, or model averaging discovery GWAMA. The unit on the y -axis is the R-squared in percentage, obtained from a regression of the trait on the PRS, age, sex and 10 principle components. ( a ) displays the polygenic prediction results from the Netherlands Twin Register, ( b ) displays the polygenic results from Understanding Society and ( c ) displays the combined N-weighted polygenic score results. LS is life satisfaction, PA is positive affect, NEU is neuroticism, and DS is depressive symptoms. Sample size used for the different polygenic scores are displayed in Supplementary Table 12 . Error bars represent the 95% confident intervals

Supplementary Figure 5 Local association in the MHC region.

( a ) provides a local Manhattan plot for the MHC region with interposed on top the LD with a strong eQTL for the C4 gene linked to neuronal pruning in adolescence and schizophrenia by Sekar et al. 27 ( b ) is a scatter plot for the –log 10 (p) against the R2 with the C4 eQTL using Pearson’s correlation. ( c ) provides a local Manhattan plot for the MHC region with interposed on top the LD with SNP rs13194504, the strongest MHC signal found for schizophrenia. ( d ) is a scatter plot of the –log 10 (p) against the R2 with rs13194504 using Pearson’s correlation. Round symbols represent SNPs, square symbols represent gene transcripts and triangle symbols represent CpG sites. The sample size used for the local association can be found in Supplementary Table 3

Supplementary Figure 6 220 cell-specific histone-modified-region enrichment.

The bar plot is reflecting the FDR adjusted p-value for tissue specific histone modified regions of the genome, as estimated using partitioned LD-score regression. Blue bars represent brain regions, black bars represent non-brain regions. The sample size used for the cell specific histone modified region enrichment can be found in Supplementary Table 3 . A Z-test was used to test for significant enrichment

Supplementary information

Supplementary text and figures.

Supplementary Figures 1–6 and Supplementary Note

Reporting Summary

Supplementary tables.

Supplementary Tables 1–22

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Baselmans, B.M.L., Jansen, R., Ip, H.F. et al. Multivariate genome-wide analyses of the well-being spectrum. Nat Genet 51 , 445–451 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-018-0320-8

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DOI : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-018-0320-8

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How to Write an Analytical Thesis: Total Guide

An analytical thesis is a thesis used in an analytical essay or writing. It aims to analyze an event, a character, or action critically. The goal of an analytical thesis is to expand the topic of the essay, mentioning everything that would be covered in the work. Often, people make a lot of mistakes when writing an analytical thesis. One of these mistakes is making the topic too broad that completing or delivering a quality thesis becomes a problem. You will be learning how to go about writing your analytical thesis here.

How to Write an Analytical Thesis

  • Decide on a Subject Matter

Before you begin writing an analytical thesis, you must decide what you would like to analyze. There are different fields that you may decide to write a thesis on. Some of these fields include arts, music, politics, culture, etc. If you’re writing. It is always advisable that you decide on a subject matter that you like and would enjoy analyzing.

  • Make Proper Research and Gather Evidence

One important aspect of how to write an analytical thesis is making adequate research on the subject matter you want to analyze. An analytical thesis would require that you backup your work with evidence and facts. Hence, as you make your research, you’ll find materials that you may need in your writing. Your findings from your research would be included in your final thesis statement.

  • Consider Narrowing the Area of Study

Narrowing the area of study is to pick out a specific part of your subject matter that you would like to deal with. This is important because dealing with overly broad topics like “culture” could frustrate your writing effort. Hence, you should consider channeling your thesis on a part of “culture”; for instance, a traditional belief in a specific area. You may decide to narrow this topic as many times as possible until you’re confident about it. It is from here that you will draft out your thesis statement. A concise topic is extremely important for your thesis statement. Your thesis statement will break down your chosen topic into components for better analysis. This is why you should consider narrowing your area of research.

  • Draft out your Thesis Statement

After you have made the right findings and narrowed your area of focus, you can begin to draft out your thesis statement. Remember to include the topic and its components that you’d like to analyze. Also, be sure to include every important point of focus that you would use in your work. This is because your thesis tells your reader everything they need to know about your work before they begin reading.

Comparative Analytical Thesis

A comparative analytical thesis is often more critical and broader than a regular analytical thesis because it is the comparison between two subject matters. Here you have to state the similarities, differences, and relationships between the two areas that you wish to analyze. The thesis statement for your comparative analytical essay requires more effort while constructing.

How to Write a Comparative Analysis Thesis Statement

  • Outline what Area you want to Compare

Once you’ve decided the topic and main characters in your comparative essay, you must outline what you aim to compare. For instance, writing a comparative essay on differences in the child-raising pattern between the rich and poor people. There are many things that you could analyze from this topic. You could decide on focusing on how they discipline their children, how rewards are given, proper parenting guidance, or provision of necessities. Your topic may not need to accommodate this aspect, but your thesis statement definitely will. Hence, you must decide the key point you’d like to compare.

  • Identify the Traits of each Character

Writing a comparative analysis means that you are trying to weigh certain features between two themes. To successfully write a comparative analysis thesis statement, you must identify the traits of each character.  You should identify the traits of each class in line with what your topic states. If you have decided on comparing the provision of necessities for children between the rich and poor classes, you must look into each class separately. This will help you structure your thesis statement by giving you specific points you want to apply.

  • Establish and state your Opinion

In your comparative thesis statement, you should always make your opinion known. Your opinion is what makes your work an original version. While there may be many comparative analysis thesis statements on how the rich and poor provide for their children, there aren’t a lot of opinions similar to yours. This is why you must include your opinion in your thesis.

  • Include what you Aim to cover in the Essay

Your thesis statement is a summary of what your essay would be about. It is therefore important that you add every important detail that the body of your work would address. Your comparative analysis thesis statement should look like this;

Even though most parents would like to give the finest things to their children, there is a huge difference in how and what the rich and poor classes provide for their children. This difference is as influenced by their financial status as it is by their mindsets.

Analytical vs Comparative Analysis Thesis

Both kinds of essays utilize similar patterns of breaking down topics to give an in-depth examination of what you want to analyze. Their thesis statements would naturally also take similar forms to achieve the same goals.

The difference between analytical and comparative analysis essays is in the definition of both essays. An Analytical essay aims to critically examine a single subject matter and its various components. However, a comparative analysis essay aims to identify the contrasting features between two subject matters.

Analytical and comparative analysis thesis both require thesis statements to make their work complete. While both involve critically analyzing subject matters, they have unique features. It is hence important to know the right way to go about writing each thesis statement. The guidelines in this article will help you start writing

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  • How to Write a Thesis Statement | 4 Steps & Examples

How to Write a Thesis Statement | 4 Steps & Examples

Published on January 11, 2019 by Shona McCombes . Revised on August 15, 2023 by Eoghan Ryan.

A thesis statement is a sentence that sums up the central point of your paper or essay . It usually comes near the end of your introduction .

Your thesis will look a bit different depending on the type of essay you’re writing. But the thesis statement should always clearly state the main idea you want to get across. Everything else in your essay should relate back to this idea.

You can write your thesis statement by following four simple steps:

  • Start with a question
  • Write your initial answer
  • Develop your answer
  • Refine your thesis statement

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Table of contents

What is a thesis statement, placement of the thesis statement, step 1: start with a question, step 2: write your initial answer, step 3: develop your answer, step 4: refine your thesis statement, types of thesis statements, other interesting articles, frequently asked questions about thesis statements.

A thesis statement summarizes the central points of your essay. It is a signpost telling the reader what the essay will argue and why.

The best thesis statements are:

  • Concise: A good thesis statement is short and sweet—don’t use more words than necessary. State your point clearly and directly in one or two sentences.
  • Contentious: Your thesis shouldn’t be a simple statement of fact that everyone already knows. A good thesis statement is a claim that requires further evidence or analysis to back it up.
  • Coherent: Everything mentioned in your thesis statement must be supported and explained in the rest of your paper.

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The thesis statement generally appears at the end of your essay introduction or research paper introduction .

The spread of the internet has had a world-changing effect, not least on the world of education. The use of the internet in academic contexts and among young people more generally is hotly debated. For many who did not grow up with this technology, its effects seem alarming and potentially harmful. This concern, while understandable, is misguided. The negatives of internet use are outweighed by its many benefits for education: the internet facilitates easier access to information, exposure to different perspectives, and a flexible learning environment for both students and teachers.

You should come up with an initial thesis, sometimes called a working thesis , early in the writing process . As soon as you’ve decided on your essay topic , you need to work out what you want to say about it—a clear thesis will give your essay direction and structure.

You might already have a question in your assignment, but if not, try to come up with your own. What would you like to find out or decide about your topic?

For example, you might ask:

After some initial research, you can formulate a tentative answer to this question. At this stage it can be simple, and it should guide the research process and writing process .

Now you need to consider why this is your answer and how you will convince your reader to agree with you. As you read more about your topic and begin writing, your answer should get more detailed.

In your essay about the internet and education, the thesis states your position and sketches out the key arguments you’ll use to support it.

The negatives of internet use are outweighed by its many benefits for education because it facilitates easier access to information.

In your essay about braille, the thesis statement summarizes the key historical development that you’ll explain.

The invention of braille in the 19th century transformed the lives of blind people, allowing them to participate more actively in public life.

A strong thesis statement should tell the reader:

  • Why you hold this position
  • What they’ll learn from your essay
  • The key points of your argument or narrative

The final thesis statement doesn’t just state your position, but summarizes your overall argument or the entire topic you’re going to explain. To strengthen a weak thesis statement, it can help to consider the broader context of your topic.

These examples are more specific and show that you’ll explore your topic in depth.

Your thesis statement should match the goals of your essay, which vary depending on the type of essay you’re writing:

  • In an argumentative essay , your thesis statement should take a strong position. Your aim in the essay is to convince your reader of this thesis based on evidence and logical reasoning.
  • In an expository essay , you’ll aim to explain the facts of a topic or process. Your thesis statement doesn’t have to include a strong opinion in this case, but it should clearly state the central point you want to make, and mention the key elements you’ll explain.

If you want to know more about AI tools , college essays , or fallacies make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples or go directly to our tools!

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A thesis statement is a sentence that sums up the central point of your paper or essay . Everything else you write should relate to this key idea.

The thesis statement is essential in any academic essay or research paper for two main reasons:

  • It gives your writing direction and focus.
  • It gives the reader a concise summary of your main point.

Without a clear thesis statement, an essay can end up rambling and unfocused, leaving your reader unsure of exactly what you want to say.

Follow these four steps to come up with a thesis statement :

  • Ask a question about your topic .
  • Write your initial answer.
  • Develop your answer by including reasons.
  • Refine your answer, adding more detail and nuance.

The thesis statement should be placed at the end of your essay introduction .

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Hybrid performance evaluation and genome-wide association analysis of root system architecture in a maize association population

  • Original Article
  • Published: 22 August 2023
  • Volume 136 , article number  194 , ( 2023 )

Cite this article

  • Zhigang Liu 1 , 4 ,
  • Pengcheng Li 2 ,
  • Wei Ren 1 ,
  • Zhe Chen 3 ,
  • Toluwase Olukayode 4 ,
  • Guohua Mi 1 ,
  • Lixing Yuan 1 ,
  • Fanjun Chen 1 , 5 &
  • Qingchun Pan   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-8462-3165 1 , 5  

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Key Message

The genetic architecture of RSA traits was dissected by GWAS and coexpression networks analysis in a maize association population.

Root system architecture (RSA) is a crucial determinant of water and nutrient uptake efficiency in crops. However, the maize genetic architecture of RSA is still poorly understood due to the challenges in quantifying root traits and the lack of dense molecular markers. Here, an association mapping panel including 356 inbred lines were crossed with a common tester, Zheng58, and the test crosses were phenotyped for 12 RSA traits in three locations. We observed a 1.3 ~ sixfold phenotypic variation for measured RSA in the association panel. The association panel consisted of four subpopulations, non-stiff stalk (NSS) lines, stiff stalk (SS), tropical/subtropical (TST), and mixed. Zheng58 × TST has a 2.1% higher crown root number (CRN) and 8.6% less brace root number (BRN) than Zheng58 × NSS and Zheng58 × SS, respectively. Using a genome-wide association study (GWAS) with 1.25 million SNPs and correction for population structure, 191 significant SNPs were identified for root traits. Ninety (47%) of the significant SNPs showed positive allelic effects, and 101 (53%) showed negative effects. Each locus could explain 0.39% to 11.8% of phenotypic variation. By integrating GWAS results and comparing coexpression networks, 26 high-priority candidate genes were identified. Gene GRMZM2G377215, which belongs to the COBRA-like gene family, affected root growth and development. Gene GRMZM2G468657 encodes the aspartic proteinase nepenthesin-1, related to root development and N-deficient response. Collectively, our research provides progress in the genetic dissection of root system architecture. These findings present the further possibility for the genetic improvement of root traits in maize.

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Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge Dr. Jianbin Yan, Huazhong Agricultural University, who provided the germplasm resources and established the genotypes for the association mapping population.We also thank Dr. Philip James Kear, from International Potato Center–China Center for Asia and the Pacific, for providing valuable feedback and editing the revised version of our manuscript.

This study was financially supported by the Hainan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (321CXTD443) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (31972485, 31971948).

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College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, Key Laboratory of Plant-Soil Interactions of MOE, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China

Zhigang Liu, Wei Ren, Guohua Mi, Lixing Yuan, Fanjun Chen & Qingchun Pan

Key Laboratory of Plant Functional Genomics of the Ministry of Education, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China

Pengcheng Li

College of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, China

Global Institute for Food Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada

Zhigang Liu & Toluwase Olukayode

Sanya Institute of China Agricultural University, Sanya, China

Fanjun Chen & Qingchun Pan

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FC and QP designed the experiment; ZL analyzed the data and wrote the manuscript; PL performed the experiments; WR and ZC assisted in data analysis; and OT, GM, LY, FC, and QP contributed to manuscript editing.

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122_2023_4442_MOESM1_ESM.xlsx

Supplement Table S1: Information of the 356 representative maize panel. Supplement Table S2: Environmental information of Guangxing, Yunnan and Hainan locations for field experiments in this study. Supplement Table S3: Summary of the significant SNPs association loci for root traits. (XLSX 43 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM2_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 1 Distribution of 1.25 million polymorphic SNPs in the maize genome. Heatmap of SNP density on the chromosome within a 1-Mb interval, colors were used to indicate the number of SNPs within the 1-Mb interval. The physical position of the SNPs was based on the B73 reference sequence (RefGen_V2). (TIF 9090 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM3_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 2 Distribution and correlation of root system architecture traits between each pair of locations. The significance levels of pairwise t-tests were added. * indicates P ≤ 0.05, ** indicates P ≤ 0.01; *** indicates P ≤ 0.001; **** indicates P ≤ 0.0001. Different lowercase letters indicate significant differences (P < 0.05) in different locations, as determined by Tukey's HSD test. Abbreviations for root traits are as follows: BRN, brace root number; BRWN, brace root whorl number; CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots; CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots; CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots; CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots; CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots; CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots; CRN, crown root number; CRWN, crown root whorl number; NRWN, nodal root whorl number. GX11: Guangxi location in 2011, HN11: Hainan location in 2011, YN11: Yunnan location in 2011. (TIF 9318 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM4_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 3 The phenotypic distribution of root traits in the association panel. Abbreviations for root traits are as follows: BRN, brace root number; BRWN, brace root whorl number; CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots; CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots; CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots; CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots; CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots; CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots; CRN, crown root number; CRWN, crown root whorl number; NRWN, nodal root whorl number. (TIF 65415 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM5_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 4 Phenotypic correlations among the root traits in the association panel. Abbreviations for root traits are as follows: BRN, brace root number; BRWN, brace root whorl number; CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots; CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots; CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots; CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots; CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots; CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots; CRN, crown root number; CRWN, crown root whorl number; NRWN, nodal root whorl number. (TIF 61613 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM6_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 5 The percentage of total variance explained by each principal component. Abbreviations for root traits are as follows: BRN, brace root number; BRWN, brace root whorl number; CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots; CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots; CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots; CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots; CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots; CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots; CRN, crown root number; CRWN, crown root whorl number; NRN, nodal root number; NRWN, nodal root whorl number. (TIF 11460 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM7_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 6 Comparison of root traits between PA and SPT heterotic groups. Different lowercase letters indicate significant differences ( P  < 0.05) in different locations, as determined by Tukey's HSD test. Abbreviations for root traits are as follows: BRN, brace root number; BRWN, brace root whorl number; CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots; CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots; CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots; CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots; CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots; CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots; CRN, crown root number; CRWN, crown root whorl number; NRN, nodal root number; NRWN, nodal root whorl number. (TIF 11656 KB)

122_2023_4442_MOESM8_ESM.tif

Supplement Figure 7 Quantile–quantile plots of root traits. (a) BRN, brace root number, (b) BRWN, brace root whorl number, (c) CR1, 1 st whorl crown roots, (d) CR2, 2 nd whorl crown roots, (e) CR3, 3 rd whorl crown roots, (f) CR4, 4 th whorl crown roots, (g) CR5, 5 th whorl crown roots, (h) CR6, 6 th -8 th whorl crown roots, (i) CRN, crown root number, (j) CRWN, crown root whorl number, (k) NRN, nodal root number, (l) NRWN, nodal root whorl number. (TIF 60252 KB)

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Liu, Z., Li, P., Ren, W. et al. Hybrid performance evaluation and genome-wide association analysis of root system architecture in a maize association population. Theor Appl Genet 136 , 194 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-023-04442-7

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DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-023-04442-7

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Scientists discover genetically isolated populations and population-level inbreeding in a range-wide genetic analysis of the endangered rusty patched bumble bee

Range-wide genetic analysis of the endangered rusty patched bumble bee shows surprising levels of inbreeding within populations and genetic divergence between populations. Using a genetic mark-recapture technique, scientists also found lower site-level colony abundance than previously reported. 

a bumble bee drinks from a white flower

Over the last three decades, the rusty patched bumble bee has disappeared from almost 90% of its former range. In 2017, it was federally listed as endangered under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. The genetic information generated through this study can inform managers in their conservation and restoration efforts of this endangered species.

Full citation: Mola, J.M., Pearse, I.S., Boone, M.L., Evans, E., Hepner, M.J., Jean, R.P., Kochanski, J.M., Nordmeyer, C., Runquist, E., Smith, T.A., Strange, J.P., Watson, J., Koch, J.B.U., 2024, Range-wide genetic analysis of an endangered bumble bee ( Bombus affinis,  Hymenoptera: Apidae) reveals population structure, isolation by distance, and low colony abundance,  Journal of Insect Science , v. 24, i. 2,  https://doi.org/10.1093/jisesa/ieae041 .

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Airline pilots at Delta, American, and United can make more than $500K a year — here's how their pay compares

  • Recent pay raises have made commercial-airline pilots some of the highest-paid workers in the US.
  • Three major airlines, American, Delta, and United, offer similar captain base pay of up to $447 an hour.
  • Pilots can earn extras like bonuses and holiday pay, bringing some to half a million annually.

Insider Today

Commercial-airline pilots have become some of the highest-paid workers in the US thanks to a suite of post-pandemic pay raises .

American Airlines, Delta Air Lines , and United Airlines — which collectively employ nearly 50,000 pilots — have all signed lucrative contracts in recent years to attract and retain talent, and help with a lingering labor shortage . These pilots earn hundreds of dollars for every hour of flight time, with pay increasing with every year of seniority.

Across the board, the median airline pilot in the US earns just over $250,000 a year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Thanks to the recent pay bumps, combined with extra income opportunities like holiday pay and profit sharing, some pilots are taking home double that .

First officers, the typically less-experienced pilots who sit in the right seat, start at about $116 an hour at American and United, regardless of aircraft type, according to figures shared by the airlines. Those at Delta earn about $113.75 hourly across the fleet for the first year.

Every year that passes, a pilot gains seniority and a sizable pay bump.

Many of these pilots climb to captain on Airbus and Boeing wide-body planes and fly long-haul routes from their US hubs to cities in Europe and across the Americas. Some fly ultra-long-haul trips to places as far away as South Africa, Japan, and Australia.

Veterans at American and United in these categories will cap out around $500 an hour when their contracts expire in 2027. At Delta, they'll hit about $475 when their contract is up in 2026.

Profit sharing and bonuses can take their pay even higher

Pilot compensation is not only in the form of a base salary rate.

Each airline has its own packages with opportunities for extra pay, like profit sharing , bonuses, per diems, incentive rates, and holiday pay. Because the extra income is not always predictable because of operational reasons, it has not been included in this article.

Between base pay and extra incentives, the annual pay stubs are reading mid-six figures for the industry's most senior pilots.

Airline-pilot pay is complex, though, and depends on the pilot's seniority, their position, and the type of aircraft they fly, among other factors.

Not your usual 40-hour workweek

Airline pilots at American, Delta, and United are paid in " block time ," meaning they earn their full hourly rate only from gate to gate, earning per diems or other allowances to make up the work between flights.

Some pilots are paid to be on "reserve" when not scheduled to fly. These hours pay the same rate and have guaranteed minimums of 70 to 75 hours, depending on the airline, according to the Air Line Pilots Association .

For simplicity, the monthly and annual salary totals below are based on airline pilots who hold a "line," meaning they have a set month's schedule and are not on call. The ALPA said these pilots typically fly around 80 hours a month but can fly up to 100, per federal law .

Related stories

Here's a breakdown of the base pay pilots at American, Delta, and United earn per hour of payable time, according to contracts sent to Business Insider from the airline or its union. Salaries will increase over four years, but the base pay rates outlined for each airline reflect 2024.

American Airlines

First officers.

First-year first officer : about $116 an hour on any aircraft type.

12-year first officer : between $246 and $255 an hour on narrow-bodies and about $305 on wide-bodies.

A first-year first officer flying 80 hours each month would make about $9,300 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $111,000 yearly. That would jump to about $293,000 annually for a 12-year wide-body first officer.

First-year captain : between $331 and $340 an hour on narrow-bodies and about $410 on wide-bodies.

12-year captain: between $360 and $374 an hour on narrow-bodies and about $447 on wide-bodies.

A first-year captain flying 80 hours each month on most narrow-bodies would make about $26,500 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $318,000 yearly. That would jump to about $430,000 annually for a 12-year wide-body captain.

Delta Air Lines

First-year first officer : about $113.75 an hour on any aircraft type.

12-year first officer : between $216 and about $300 an hour, depending on the aircraft type.

A first-year first officer flying 80 hours each month would make about $9,100 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $109,000 yearly. That would jump to about $288,000 annually for a 12-year first officer on most of Delta's wide-bodies .

First-year captain : between $290 and about $402 an hour, depending on the aircraft type.

12-year captain : between $316 and about $438 an hour, depending on the aircraft type.

A first-year captain flying 80 hours each month on Delta's lowest-rate narrow-body, a Boeing 717, would make about $23,200 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $278,00 yearly. That would jump to about $420,000 yearly for a 12-year captain on most of Delta's wide-bodies.

United Airlines

12-year first officer : between $245 and about $305 an hour, depending on the aircraft type.

A first-year first officer flying 80 hours each month would make about $9,300 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $111,000 yearly. That would jump to about $293,000 annually for a 12-year first officer on most of United's wide-bodies.

First-year captain : between $329 and about $410 an hour, depending on the aircraft type.

12-year captain : between $358 and about $447 per hour, depending on the aircraft type.

A first-year captain flying 80 hours each month on United's lowest-end Airbus and Boeing narrow-bodies would make about $26,300 monthly before taxes and other earnings, or about $316,000 yearly. That would jump to about $429,000 yearly for a 12-year captain on most of United's wide-bodies .

Watch: Why flying is so terrible even though airlines spend billions

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Sample Size for Successful Genome-Wide Association Study of Major Depressive Disorder

1 Department of Medical Science Mathematics, Medical Research Institute, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan

2 CREST, JST, Tokyo, Japan

Hidenori Ochi

3 Division of Frontier Medical Science, Programs for Biomedical Research Graduate School of Biomedical Science, Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan

4 Laboratory for Digestive Diseases, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan

5 Laboratory for Autoimmune Diseases, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama, Japan

Tatsuhiko Tsunoda

6 Laboratory for Medical Science Mathematics, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama, Japan

7 Risk Analysis Research Center, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan

Shigeyuki Matsui

8 Department of Biostatistics, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan

Associated Data

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a complex, heritable psychiatric disorder. Advanced statistical genetics for genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have suggested that the heritability of MDD is largely explained by common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). However, until recently, there has been little success in identifying MDD-associated SNPs. Here, based on an empirical Bayes estimation of a semi-parametric hierarchical mixture model using summary statistics from GWASs, we show that MDD has a distinctive polygenic architecture consisting of a relatively small number of risk variants (~17%), e.g., compared to schizophrenia (~42%). In addition, these risk variants were estimated to have very small effects (genotypic odds ratio ≤ 1.04 under the additive model). Based on the estimated architecture, the required sample size for detecting significant SNPs in a future GWAS was predicted to be exceptionally large. It is noteworthy that the number of genome-wide significant MDD-associated SNPs would rapidly increase when collecting 50,000 or more MDD-cases (and the same number of controls); it can reach as much as 100 SNPs out of nearly independent (linkage disequilibrium pruned) 100,000 SNPs for ~120,000 MDD-cases.

Introduction

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a common, complex disorder with a high lifetime prevalence of ~15% (Kessler et al., 2003 ) and a moderate heritability of 31–42% (Sullivan et al., 2000 ). Etiological understanding of MDD is potentially of great impact on individuals and public health. Several statistical genetics approaches have suggested that a large portion of the heritability of MDD is explained by common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (Lubke et al., 2012 ; Lee et al., 2013 ). However, no significant MDD-associated variant has been discovered even in a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) with around 9,500 cases by the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC) (Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ; Levinson et al., 2014 ). Most recently, two studies have respectively identified one genome-wide significant SNP for particular subpopulations with relatively less phenotypic heterogeneity. One used severe Han Chinese women patients (Cai et al., 2015 ) and the other reanalyzed the data collected from the PGC with stratification by self-reported age (Power et al., 2017 ). In contrast, as a GWAS analysis for a general population without restriction to particular subpopulations, Hyde et al. ( 2016 ) used European self-reported phenotyped data from a consumer genomics company, 23andMe, composed of a massive sample size of 75,607 cases and 231,747 controls, and identified 15 independent loci associated with major depression. However, one possible limitation of this study is the validity of self-reported phenotype information. Therefore, although it provided a candidate list of disease-associated loci for the first time, further GWASs are warranted for discovery of new variants associated with MDD.

The power to discover new disease-associated variants critically depends on the underlying genetic architecture, i.e., the number of risk loci and their frequencies and effect sizes. One possible reason for the difficulty in identifying variants associated with MDD might relate to the disease's high prevalence/low heritability feature. Based on these perspectives, Wray et al. ( 2012 ) carefully quantified that sample sizes 4 to 5-fold greater are needed for GWASs of MDD compared with schizophrenia (SCZ), assuming the same number and frequency of risk variants underlying SCZ and MDD.

In this study, utilizing GWAS summary data of PGC (Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ), we unbiasedly estimated the proportion of disease-associated variants and their effect size distribution with the use of our recently developed empirical Bayes method with a semi-parametric hierarchical mixture model (SP-HMM) (Nishino et al., 2018 ). Based on the estimated genetic architectures by this method, we explain why GWASs of MDD have failed to discover disease-associated variants, through comparisons with other diseases, including SCZ (Ripke et al., 2014 ), type 2 diabetes (T2D) (Morris et al., 2012 ) with similar heritability and prevalence to MDD, and Crohn's disease (CD) (Liu et al., 2015 ), for which GWASs to date have successfully identified disease-associated variants. We also analyzed GWAS data for other psychiatric disorders including autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) (Autism Spectrum Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatry Genomics Consortium, 2015 ) and anorexia nervosa (AN) (Boraska et al., 2014 ), which have not had much progress in GWAS. We then predicted a curve of the number of significant SNPs or the number of new discoveries for various sizes of future GWASs. This prediction would be particularly useful for designing future GWASs for complex diseases for which limited disease-associated variants have been identified.

Proportion of disease-associated SNPs and their effect-size distributions

We obtained nearly independent pruned SNP sets consisting of around m = 100,000 SNPs for the six GWASs (Table S1 ). The SP-HMM was fitted to each pruned SNP set to estimate the proportion of disease-associated SNPs, π, and their effect size distribution, g , non-parametrically (Figure ​ (Figure1). 1 ). The proportion of disease-associated SNPs, π, for SCZ was estimated to be the largest ( π ^   ~   42 . 2   % ), i.e., SCZ was highly polygenic, followed by T2D and CD. ASDs was the least polygenic ( π ^   ~   9 . 4   % ) among the six GWASs. MDD was the second least polygenic, π ^   ~   17 . 0   % . For AN, π was estimated to be intermediate, π ^   ~   21 . 3   % .

An external file that holds a picture, illustration, etc.
Object name is fgene-09-00227-g0001.jpg

Estimated proportions of disease-associated SNPs, π ^ , and effect-size distributions for disease-associated SNPs, ĝ. π ^ corresponds to the areas under the curves. Numbers after the plus-minus signs (“±”) are standard errors by 100 parametric bootstrap samples based on the estimated SP-HMM. Vertical allows in the figures indicate small peaks with relatively large effects.

Non-parametric estimation of g flexibly characterized the effect-size distributions for the six diseases as follows. A noteworthy feature in the effect-size distribution of disease-associated SNPs, g , for MDD is that there were few SNPs with large effects; most were within |β| = 0.03 (genotypic odds ratio = 1.03 under the additive model) and almost all SNPs were within |β| = 0.04 (odds ratio = 1.04). For ASDs, effect sizes were estimated to be relatively small among the six GWASs; almost all SNPs were within |β| = 0.05. For CD, we had many disease-associated SNPs with effect sizes near or more than |β| = 0.05 or odds ratio = 1.05, and also peaks of effects around |β| = 0.1. The estimated distribution of g for SCZ lay mostly within a range of |β| ≤ 0.03, but with peaks at relatively large effects of |β| 0.05 or larger. AN had relatively large effects, particularly in the positive signed region. For T2D, while most disease-associated SNPs were within |β| = 0.03, there was a small portion of disease-associated SNPs with the effect sizes near or more than |β| = 0.05.

Prediction of the number of significant SNPs

Figure ​ Figure2 2 shows the predicted number of significant SNPs, K ^ , with the genome-wide significance level of p c = 5 × 10 −8 (Figure ​ (Figure2A) 2A ) and suggestive level of p c = 1 × 10 −6 (Figure ​ (Figure2B) 2B ) for each disease, assuming m * = 100,000 independent SNPs in a future GWAS. Also, Figure S1 shows K ^ with 95% confidence intervals for each disease in log scale. We first confirmed that the observed number of significant SNPs in the pruned SNP sets in the current GWASs, shown in dots, was well-captured by the predicted curves in all the diseases. In both levels of the statistical significance thresholds, the number of significant SNPs was predicted to be by far the largest for CD in all ranges of the effective number of cases. The predicted number of statistical significance was the second largest for SCZ. Those for AN were next to and near those for SCZ. For detecting 1, 10, and 100 genome-wide significant SCZ-associated SNPs, 7,000, 18,000, and 51,000 effective number of cases was predicted to be needed, respectively. We observed that, for MDD, the predicted number of statistically significant SNPs was exceptionally small in both levels of the statistical significance thresholds (Figure ​ (Figure2). 2 ). Nevertheless, the predicted number for MDD rapidly increases when n e * > 50,000. For detecting 1, 10, and 100 genome-wide significant MDD-associated SNPs, 34,000, 61,000, and 118,000 effective number of cases was predicted to be needed, respectively (Figure S2 ). For detecting 1, 10, and 100 genome-wide significant SCZ-associated SNPs, 7,000, 18,000, and 51,000 effective number of cases was predicted to be needed (Figure S2 ), which was 4.9, 3.4, and 2.3 times larger than those for SCZ, respectively. Those numbers were 4.9, 3.4, and 2.3 times larger than those for SCZ, respectively. For ASDs, the predicted curves of the number of disease-associated SNPs with significance in both levels of statistical significance thresholds lay in the middle of those for SCZ and MDD (Figure ​ (Figure2). 2 ). For T2D, in case of n e * < 2,000, the number of detected SNPs was predicted to be close to those for SCZ and AN. However, as the sample size increased, the predicted detections for T2D with the genome-wide significance and suggestive level became smaller than those for ASDs, or even for MDD.

An external file that holds a picture, illustration, etc.
Object name is fgene-09-00227-g0002.jpg

Predicted number of significant SNPs, K ^ , under the estimated SP-HMM. Predicted number of significant SNPs, K ^ , was calculated assuming m * = 100,000 independent SNPs in the “future” GWASs. Dots show observed values in the pruned SNP sets of current GWAS data. (A) Genome-wide significance level: p c = 5 × 10 −8 . (B) Genome-wide suggestive level: p c = 10 −6 .

Although GWASs have played a critical role in discovering disease-associated variants for many complex diseases, this approach has not necessarily worked well for some diseases, including psychiatric disorders such as MDD. In this paper, we have attempted to explain the reason for the failure in GWASs for such diseases, through estimating the genetic architecture based on an empirical Bayes estimation of a flexible, semi-parametric hierarchical mixture model (Nishino et al., 2018 ) using summary data from the existing GWASs (Figure ​ (Figure1 1 ).

For the six diseases examined, we commonly observed that the genetic basis consisted of enormous variants, ranging from π ^   ~ 9.4 to 42.2% in the nearly independent 100,000 genome-wide SNPs, with small effects (majority of genotypic odds ratio for risk alleles are within 1.05 under the additive model). In regard to MDD, the SP-HMM clarified the distinctive feature of polygenicity; the proportion of MDD-associated SNPs was relatively small, π ^   ~   17 . 0   % compared with other diseases (SCZ, T2D, CD, ASDs, and AN), and the absolute effect sizes for almost all of the non-null SNPs were very small, |β| ≤ 0.04, in the pruned GWAS data from PGC (Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ) (Figure ​ (Figure1 1 ).

However, this difficulty in discovering MDD-associated variants can be addressed with increased sample sizes. A prediction on the number of discoveries in a future GWAS based on the estimated genetic architecture indicated that the number of significant SNPs can substantially increase when collecting 50,000 or more MDD-cases (and the same number of controls). It can reach as much as 100 SNPs out of 100,000 independent SNPs for ~120,000 MDD-cases (Figure ​ (Figure2 2 and Figure S2 ). Note that the results cannot rule out the importance of taking into account rare variants, environment-gene interaction (Caspi et al., 2010 ), and heterogeneity possibly resolved by stratified analysis (Power et al., 2017 ).

One reviewer of this article kindly informed us that the MDD-PGC group identified 44 independent significant SNPs using the seven cohorts (130,664 cases and 330,470 controls in total) including PGC data with 16,823 cases and 25,632 controls (Wray et al., 2018 ). One part of the results of that study seems to be consistent with our estimate that the effect sizes of MDD-associated SNPs were very small, i.e., |β| ≤ 0.04 (Figure ​ (Figure1); 1 ); the crude odds ratio estimates of 41 SNPs of 44 significant SNPs in the PGC (2017) were 0.96, 0.97, 1.03, or 1.04, that is | β ^ | ≤ 0 . 04 (Table 1 in Wray et al., 2018 ). Note that the true effect sizes of the 44 SNPs would be generally smaller than those of estimates, as the crude estimate is subject to the “winners curse.” On the other hand, by the present method, the number of significant SNPs assuming 100,000 independent SNPs was predicted as 355.1 (95% confidence interval 239.7–683.3) using the sample with 130,664 cases and 330,470 controls, which largely exceeded the observed number, 44 (Figure S1 ). (Note that our estimation targeting 100,000 independent SNPs is supposed to underestimate the number of significant SNPs seen in practical situations, where SNPs with higher association (e.g., lower P -value) are preferentially selected among “all SNPs” so that linkage disequilibrium (LD) among selected SNPs are nearly independent). The discrepancy between our prediction and the observation could be due to the difference between the PGC cohort data and data from the other six cohorts, especially, self-reported data from 23andMe with 130,664 cases and 330,470 controls, which accounted for the large proportion of the total cohorts. In fact, the SNP heritability estimates in observed scales were much smaller for 23andMe data (0.038) than for PGC data (0.128) (Hyde et al., 2016 ). Our over prediction suggests that for MDD, possibly for other diseases, phenotyping methods have great impact on the number of significant SNPs. Despite the reduced power, self-reported data from a consumer genomics company, e.g., 23andMe, would increase in importance due to its utility. It is our intention to clarify the difference in effect-size of disease-associated variants between self-reported data and established phenotyped data.

In addition to MDD, the prediction analysis can be used for comparing the number of discoveries among diseases. For example, the number of future discoveries for AN is expected to be of the same extent as for SCZ, while the number for ASDs is predicted to be intermediate between those for SCZ and MDD.

Using a method similar to the present study, Park et al. ( 2010 ) investigated the relationship between sample size and the number of significant disease-associated SNPs based on the estimated effect size distribution of disease-associated SNPs. This method, however, is limited to relatively large effect sizes in the effect-size estimation due to the need to use SNPs with some significant level, and requires adjustment for the winner's curse (selection bias in using top significant SNPs) in the estimation. Stahl et al. ( 2012 ) proposed a method to estimate the proportion of disease-associated SNPs and the effect-size distribution using an approximate Bayesian polygenic analysis (ABPA). The application to evaluate the relationship between sample size and the number of significant disease-associated SNPs has been limited to few studies because of technical complexity and excess computational burden with many simulations (to our knowledge, Ripke et al., 2013 applied the ABPA method). There are also several “Gaussian mixture models” to estimate the underlying effect sizes using the z-scores for SNPs as the inputs (Thompson et al., 2015 ; Holland et al., 2016 ). These models are applicable to investigate the relationship between sample size and the number of significant disease-associated SNPs, although the authors did not directly study this problem. Note that the definitions of effect sizes in the above existing methods are different from that of the SP-HMM, e.g., 2 f (1− f )β 2 for Park et al. ( 2010 ), and 2 f ( 1 - f ) β for Thompson et al. ( 2015 ), where f is the allele frequency.

The features of the SP-HMM make it quick and easy to compute the number of significant disease-associated SNPs given sample sizes understanding the estimated proportion of the disease-associated SNPs and effect-size distribution where the effect size is easy to understand, defined as the genotype log-odds ratio under the additive model, β. In making inference about a SNP regarding its null/non-null association with disease status, the number of components, in principle, is two (i.e., null and non-null components). In modeling the non-null component (effect size distribution), the parametric approach, e.g., finite normal mixture models with several components, is a popular choice. Unlike such a parametric model, we assume a non-parametric distribution as a “single” non-null component to cover all such non-null components. This is the interpretation for the modeling formula given in the subsection “Semi-parametric Hierarchical Mixture Model (SP-HMM)” in the Materials and Methods section. Meanwhile, in estimation using the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm we can see our model as that with “so many” non-null components (the number of components = B , described in the subsection “Semi-parametric Hierarchical Mixture Model (SP-HMM)” in the discretized effect size distribution used in the estimation algorithm). We have shown that with 3–5,000 or more cases (and the same number of controls), the estimates of π and g are fairly accurate, leading to reliable estimates of the number of significant disease-associated SNPs (Nishino et al., 2018 ). Note that our prediction of the number of significant SNPs targets “the LD-pruned SNP set” in the future GWAS data, where SNPs would be randomly selected so that LDs among SNPs should be r 2 < 0.1. This limitation regarding the target SNPs (i.e., the LD-pruned SNP set) will be addressed in future work. Although we assumed 100,000 SNPs in the LD-pruned set from the observations in Table S1 , a different number of SNPs in the LD-pruned set would be considered in the proposed approach. This is because the number should depend on the effective size of study population, as is the case for “the effective number of chromosome segments” ( M e ; the key determinant of the accuracy of genomic prediction) does, i.e., M e = 2.938 N e 0 . 965 under 30 Morgan in total, where N e is the effective population size (Lee et al., 2017 ).

In conclusion, our prediction analysis is generally useful for designing future GWASs for complex diseases, through estimating additional number of cases (and controls) needed to be collected in a single cohort study, or additional cohorts (sample sets) needed to be included in a meta-analysis, and for discovering a given number of new disease-associated variants.

Materials and methods

Semi-parametric hierarchical mixture model (sp-hmm).

To estimate polygenic architectures of the six diseases, we used the SP-HMM (Nishino et al., 2018 ). The SP-HMM estimates the proportion of disease-associated SNPs, π, and their effect size distribution, g , non-parametrically, using GWAS summary statistics on effect sizes (genotype log-odds ratios) which often are available through Web sites. The “non-parametric estimation of g ” enables us to flexibly characterize the effect-size distributions without any assumptions for forms of the distribution. The SP-HMM assumes independence among SNPs, as was justified by pruning SNP described below. The SP-HMM has been validated through various types of polygenic scenarios and the required sample size was confirmed to be around 3–5,000 or more (see Nishino et al., 2018 for more details about the SP-HMM). The SP-HMM is briefly described in the following.

Letting a and A be the derived and ancestral alleles status, respectively. The genotypes AA , Aa , and aa in each SNP assumed to have dosages x j = 0, 1, and 2, respectively. Under the additive allele dosage model, we defined the effect size, β j , as the genotype log-odds ratio for the j -th SNP of the total m SNPs. The estimate of β j was denoted by Y j = β ^ j . For Y j 's, a two-component mixture model with null and non-null SNPs components is assumed:

where f 0 j and f 1 j are the probability densities for null and non-null SNPs, respectively, and π is the probability of being non-null. Let V ^ β ^ j be an empirical variance estimate of β ^ j . Asymptotic distribution of β ^ j were assumed. For null SNPs, we specified y j   ~   f 0 j ( y j ) = N ( 0 , V ^ β ^ j ) . For non-null SNPs, we assumed the hierarchical structure: y j | β j   ~   f 1 j ( y j | β j ) = N ( β j , V ^ β ^ j ) and β j ~ g , where the effect-size distribution g is unspecified. We regard this model as a semi-parametric model, as the standard asymptotic normality is assumed for β ^ j at the individual SNP level, while its true effect size β j follows a non-parametric prior distribution g . The assumption of independence among y j 's would be reasonable for a set of LD-pruned SNPs (for the details about pruning see the subsection of “GWAS Data”). We estimated the priors, π and g , based on the data by applying an expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm, that is, empirical Bayes estimation. The non-parametric estimate of g was discrete with mass points p = ( p 1 , p 2 , …, p B ) at a series of nonzero points b = ( b 1 , b 2 , …, b B ) ( b 1 < b 2 < ··· < b B ). We set b 1 = −0.3 and b B = 0.3 (0.74 and 1.35 in odds ratio). The number grid point B = 120 was used, such that b = (−0.300, −0.295, …, −0.005, 0.005, …, 0.295, 0.300). The initial value of π and the initial distribution of g were important and determined by a careful procedure (for details, see Nishino et al., 2018 ). To estimate standard errors of π ^ and 95% confidence interval of K ^ , the parametric bootstrap method based on the estimated SP-HMM was used. The validity of the estimation using the SP-HMM has been demonstrated via an extensive simulation experiment under various scenarios in terms of sample size, π, g , and possible correlations among SNP (Nishino et al., 2018 ).

For the j -th SNP, the power to detect an association with effect size β j , Power j (β j ), is given by

where Φ μ, 1 (·) denotes the cumulative distribution function of the normal distribution with mean μ and unit variance, and z c denotes the rejection threshold determined by a significance level, p c , satisfying z c = Φ 0 , 1 - 1 ( 1 - p c / 2 ) ). In this study, p c = 5 × 10 −8 (the genome-wide “significant” threshold) and p c = 1 × 10 −6 (the genome-wide “suggestive” threshold) were used. Under the SP-HMM, the rejection probability, i.e., the probability that the j -th SNP is significant, is given by

Let n r and n s be the sample sizes for cases and controls, respectively, in an existing GWAS from which we can estimate the SP-HMM. In addition, we envisage a “future” GWAS with n r * cases and n s * controls. Based on the formula (1), the probability of significance for the j -th SNP in the future GWAS can be obtained through replacing V ^ β ^ j with V ^ β ^ j × 1/(1/ n r + 1/ n s ) × (1/ n r * + 1/ n s * ), since the empirical variance of β ^ j is approximately proportional to the sum of inverses of case and control sample sizes. This approximation has been used in the GWAS meta-analysis (Willer et al., 2010 ). The derivation in the logistic regression for “large sample and small effect-size” limit was done elsewhere (e.g., by Lin and Sullivan, 2009 ). The number of significant SNPs, K , in the future data set consisting of m * SNPs is then predicted as

where P ¯ is the average rejection probability over all SNPs in the SNP set, P ¯ = ∑ j = 1 m P j / m , replacing V ^ β ^ j with V ^ β ^ j × 1/(1/ n r + 1/ n s ) × (1/ n r * + 1/ n s * ), π with π ^ and g with ĝ, respectively, in the formula (1). We set m * = 100,000 for targeting 100,000 pruned SNPs. Since the term (1/ n r * + 1/ n s * ) determines the predicted number of significant SNPs, K ^ , we define the “effective number of cases” as n e * = 2 / ( 1 / n r * + 1 / n s * ) . As such, we can obtain a curve of the number of significant SNPs in a future GWAS, K ^ , as a function of its sample size, n e * , based on the estimated SP-HMM using the existing GWAS data.

The six sets of GWAS summary statistics for MDD (Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ), SCZ (Ripke et al., 2014 ), T2D (Morris et al., 2012 ), CD (Liu et al., 2015 ), ASDs (Autism Spectrum Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatry Genomics Consortium), and AN (Boraska et al., 2014 ) were used, which are all available online (MDD, SCZ, ASDs and AN, www.med.unc.edu/pgc/downloads ; T2D, http://www.diagram-consortium.org/ ; IBD, http://www.ibdgenetics.org/downloads.html ; see Table S1 for sample size). To restrict analysis to well-imputed, high-quality variants, we used only SNPs that existed on the HapMap 3 reference panel (International HapMap 3 Consortium., 2010 ). For the pruned SNP sets, we included SNPs randomly, irrespective of degrees of association such that no SNPs in the set were in r 2 > 0.1, as done in the previous work (Nishino et al., 2018 ). We selected one SNP randomly from all the SNP data and SNPs in LD ( r 2 > 0.1) with the selected SNP removed. This was repeated until no SNPs remained. LD information( r 2 ) was extracted from the HapMap database (HapMap phases I+II+III, release 27) (International HapMap 3 Consortium., 2010 ). With this pruning process, we could interpret the significant SNPs as SNPs linked to independent causal variants. Meanwhile, the SP-HMM analysis evaluates the marginal effect of the pruned SNPs and underestimates the effects of causal variants; estimated effect-size distributions should be smaller than those of causal variants, and the estimates π ^ × (the number of SNPs in the SNP sets) would give conservative estimates of the number of causal variants. Nevertheless, the SP-HMM estimation reflects the effects of the causal variants for each disease through linkage disequilibrium. LD information was retrieved from the HapMap (International HapMap 3 Consortium., 2010 ) data base (HapMap phases I+II+III, release 27). The ancestral/derived alleles for each SNP were determined from dbSNP (Nishino et al., 2018 ). We calculated the estimate of log-odds ratio for the j -th SNP, β ^ j , and its variance, V ^ β ^ j for applying the SP-HMM to the pruned SNP sets and predicting of number of significant SNPs.

Empirical validation for prediction of the number of significant SNPs

We validated our approach for predicting the number of significant SNPs using hypothetical “current” and “future” GWAS data; we fitted the SP-HMM to the “current” GWAS data with smaller sample size to predict the number of significant SNPs in the “future” GWAS data with larger sample size, and we compared the predicted value with the observed one. The three pairs of GWAS summary statistics for SCZ (for “current” data, Cross-Disorder Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ; for “future” data, Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the Psychiatric GWAS Consortium, 2013), bipolar disorder (for 'current' data, Cross-Disorder Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium, 2013 ; for 'future' data, Ripke et al., 2014 ), and coronary artery disease (for “current” data, The Coronary Artery Disease (C4D) Genetics Consortium, 2011 ; for “future” data, Schunkert et al., 2011 ) are all available online (SCZ, bipolar disorder, www.med.unc.edu/pgc/downloads ; coronary artery disease, www.cardiogramplusc4d.org/data-downloads/ ). The quality control and pruning for the SNP data were done as described in the previous subsection, “GWAS Data.” For SCZ, bipolar disorder, and coronary artery disease, there were 101314, 96681, and 79512 SNPs in the pruned sets, respectively. Those values were set as m * in the formula (2). The number of SNPs was smaller for coronary artery disease (79512), as the original GWAS summary data have been imputed using HapMap data. Table S2 shows the validation results. The observed number of significant SNPs for each disease was well-predicted by our approach.

Author contributions

JN and SM: Conceptualization; JN: Formal analysis; TT and SM: Funding acquisition; JN and SM: Writing original draft; HO, YK and TT: Writing review and editing.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Acknowledgments

This study made use of data generated by International Inflammatory Bowel Disease Genetics Consortium (IIBDGC), DIAbetes Genetics Replication and Meta-analysis (DIAGRAM), and Psychiatric Genomic Consortium (PGC).

Funding. We thank a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (16H06299) and JST- CREST (JPMJCR1412) from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2018.00227/full#supplementary-material

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Steelers Pushing for WR Trade

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PITTSBURGH -- The Pittsburgh Steelers haven't given up on trading for a wide receiver just yet. According to NFL insider Jason La Canfora, the team is still searching for the right move, and it could come before the NFL Draft.

"For me, there’s a piece of information we don’t have yet, which is do they trade for a wide receiver before the draft," La Canfora said on the  In The Huddle  podcast. "It would not surprise me if they did that tomorrow, if they did it the Wednesday before the draft. If they did it while they were on the clock, if they did it in the run up to the draft that Thursday, I know that they’re really trying to make something happen there."

The Steelers have done some, but not much, homework on the top wide receivers in the NFL Draft. Despite meeting with many at the NFL Combine, the team has only brought in six names for pre-draft visits. The most notable was Adonai Mitchell of Texas.

Pittsburgh was on the radar for a Brandon Aiyuk trade with the San Francisco 49ers, but the move slowly died off. All Steelers suggested making a trade for one of the Houston Texans' wideouts after the trade of Stefon Diggs. And maybe, the team has other plans in mind with names like Tee Higgins on the block.

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  1. What Is a master's Thesis (5 Characteristics of an A Plus Thesis)

  2. University-wide 3-Minute Thesis Competition 2023

  3. OET EXAM INTROSPECTION DATED 19/08/2023— World Wide Analysis

  4. Literary Analysis Thesis Feedback

  5. Part 2

  6. What Is a Thesis?

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  1. PDF Genome-wide analysis of

    Genome-wide analysis of trimethylated lysine 4 of histone H3 (H3K4me3) in Aspergillus niger Christina Sawchyn A Thesis in The Department of ... well, in the preparation of this Thesis, Dr Tsang provided me with a great deal of feedback, which has greatly impacted my writing skills in scientific communication. Finally, Dr Tsang has supported me in

  2. Performing post-genome-wide association study analysis: overview

    The authors of the manuscript entitled "Performing post-genome-wide association study analysis: overview, challenges and recommendations" give a detailed overview to the methods and tools of post GWAS analysis. The principles, key factors, tools, resources, suggestions and codes were provided to facilitate researchers who need to conduct ...

  3. A tutorial on conducting genome‐wide association studies: Quality

    Cross Disorder Group of the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium. Identification of risk loci with shared effects on five major psychiatric disorders: A genome‐wide analysis (vol 381, pg 1371, 2013). Lancet, 381 (9875), 1360-1360. [PMC free article] [Google Scholar]

  4. A guide to genome‐wide association analysis and post‐analytic

    Abstract. This tutorial is a learning resource that outlines the basic process and provides specific software tools for implementing a complete genome‐wide association analysis. Approaches to post‐analytic visualization and interrogation of potentially novel findings are also presented. Applications are illustrated using the free and open ...

  5. PDF Genome-wide association studies: assessing trait ...

    Genome‑wide association studies (GWAS) It was reported on 11 January 2019 that for humans 3730 GWAS studies had been published with a total of 37 730 sin-gle nucleotide variations and 52 415 unique SNV-trait asso-ciations above a genome-wide signicance threshold [1 , 2]. Analysis of the staggering increase in the number of associa-

  6. Perspectives and recent progress of genome-wide association ...

    Genome-wide characterization of genetic variation may have immense potential for the exploitation of natural genetic resources in fruit species as observed in grapes [].Robust and equally distributed genome-wide SNP markers linked with reference genetic linkage maps, help us to utilize new genomic-based approaches like GWAS and GS [] which are currently developing as effective tools in various ...

  7. Multivariate genome-wide analyses of the well-being spectrum

    Abstract. We introduce two novel methods for multivariate genome-wide-association meta-analysis (GWAMA) of related traits that correct for sample overlap. A broad range of simulation scenarios ...

  8. (PDF) Chapter 11: Genome-Wide Association Studies

    Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have evolved over the last ten years into a powerful tool for investigating the genetic architecture of human disease. In this work, we review the key ...

  9. Gene and Gene-Set Analysis for Genome-Wide Association Studies

    1.1.4 genome-wide association studies 33 1.2 challenges of current gwas 39 1.3 gene-set and network analyses 42 1.4 gsa and network analyses in gwas 46 1.5 objectives of this thesis 51 ii a software suite to perform gene-based and gene-set analyses of genome-wide association studies 53 2.1 introduction 54 2.2 gene-based analyses of gwas 55

  10. On the interpretation of transcriptome-wide association studies

    Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) aim to detect relationships between gene expression and a phenotype, and are commonly used for secondary analysis of genome-wide association study (GWAS) results. Results from TWAS analyses are often interpreted as indicating a geneticrelationship between gene expression and a phenotype, but this interpretation is not consistent with the null ...

  11. Designing a Genome-Wide Association Study: Main Steps and ...

    2.1 Assembly and Phenotyping of an Association Panel. The foundational step in any GWAS is the selection of the accessions that will form the association panel. This has two important components to it: the number of accessions and their degree of relationship or how wide (genetically diverse) the panel should be.

  12. (PDF) Genome-Wide Bioinformatics Analysis of Aquaporin ...

    This study presented genome-wide identification, characterization and functional prediction of aquaporins in maize using bioinformatics. A total of 41 non-redundant putative aquaporins were ...

  13. OATD

    You may also want to consult these sites to search for other theses: Google Scholar; NDLTD, the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.NDLTD provides information and a search engine for electronic theses and dissertations (ETDs), whether they are open access or not. Proquest Theses and Dissertations (PQDT), a database of dissertations and theses, whether they were published ...

  14. Genome-wide association studies in plant pathosystems: success or

    Our meta-analysis of genome-wide association (GWA) studies (GWAS) in plant pathosystems highlights the power of GWA mapping to characterize thoroughly the genetic architecture of plant responses to a wide range of pathogens, subsequently leading to the identification of novel defense mechanisms. GWAS in pathogens revealed fewer, but nonetheless ...

  15. How to Write a Literary Analysis Essay

    Table of contents. Step 1: Reading the text and identifying literary devices. Step 2: Coming up with a thesis. Step 3: Writing a title and introduction. Step 4: Writing the body of the essay. Step 5: Writing a conclusion. Other interesting articles.

  16. The Power of Analysis: Tips and Tricks for Writing Analysis Essays: Home

    Text analysis can be used to explore a wide range of textual material, including literature, poetry, speeches, and news articles, and it is often employed in academic research, literary criticism, and media analysis. ... Film Analysis Essays: These essays analyze a film's themes, characters, and visual elements, such as cinematography and sound.

  17. What Is a Thesis?

    A thesis is a type of research paper based on your original research. It is usually submitted as the final step of a master's program or a capstone to a bachelor's degree. Writing a thesis can be a daunting experience. Other than a dissertation, it is one of the longest pieces of writing students typically complete.

  18. How to Use Quantitative Data Analysis in a Thesis

    This guide discusses the application of quantitative data analysis to your thesis statement. Writing a Strong Thesis Statement. In a relatively short essay of 10 to 15 pages, the thesis statement is generally found in the introductory paragraph. This kind of thesis statement is also typically rather short and straightforward.

  19. How to Write an Analytical Thesis: Total Guide

    An analytical thesis is a thesis used in an analytical essay or writing. It aims to analyze an event, a character, or action critically. The goal of an analytical thesis is to expand the topic of the essay, mentioning everything that would be covered in the work. Often, people make a lot of mistakes when writing an analytical thesis.

  20. How to Write a Thesis Statement

    Step 2: Write your initial answer. After some initial research, you can formulate a tentative answer to this question. At this stage it can be simple, and it should guide the research process and writing process. The internet has had more of a positive than a negative effect on education.

  21. Hybrid performance evaluation and genome-wide association analysis of

    Key Message The genetic architecture of RSA traits was dissected by GWAS and coexpression networks analysis in a maize association population. Abstract Root system architecture (RSA) is a crucial determinant of water and nutrient uptake efficiency in crops. However, the maize genetic architecture of RSA is still poorly understood due to the challenges in quantifying root traits and the lack of ...

  22. Meta-analysis in genome-wide association studies

    Impetus for meta-analysis of genome-wide association (GWA) studies. Until recently, the field of complex disease genetics had been plagued by irreproducibility of published results [1,2].In retrospect, studies with small sample sizes given what are now known to be small effects [], limited coverage of the genetic variability [] and liberal use of statistical significance thresholds for ...

  23. Scientists discover genetically isolated populations and population

    Range-wide genetic analysis of the endangered rusty patched bumble bee shows surprising levels of inbreeding within populations and genetic divergence between populations. Using a genetic mark-recapture technique, scientists also found lower site-level colony abundance than previously reported.

  24. US-Europe Gripes on China Overcapacity Aren't All Backed by Data

    Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world

  25. How Much Pilots Are Paid at American, Delta, and United Airlines

    That would jump to about $293,000 annually for a 12-year wide-body first officer. Captains. First-year captain: between $331 and $340 an hour on narrow-bodies and about $410 on wide-bodies.

  26. Notre Dame 2025 Commit Profile: Wide Receiver Shaun Terry

    On3: 3-star - No. 115 wide receiver Rivals: 3-star 247Sports Composite: 3-star - No. 612 overall - No. 100 wide receiver On3 Consensus: 3-star - No. 659 overall - No. 114 wide receiver. NOTRE DAME FIT

  27. NFL Draft Analyst Places FSU Football Star Wide Receiver in Second Round

    Although Coleman didn't blow everyone away with his 40-yard dash time at the NFL Combine with a 4.61, he was timed with the top speed of any wide receiver in the gauntlet drill. "I'm betting on ...

  28. Honeywell: Aviation Segment Recovering

    Monty Rakusen. Investment Thesis. Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON) reported results on the 1st, February, missing on revenues but beating on normalized EPS.The company sports a wide moat with high levels of ...

  29. Sample Size for Successful Genome-Wide Association Study of Major

    Prediction of the number of significant SNPs. Figure Figure2 2 shows the predicted number of significant SNPs, K ^, with the genome-wide significance level of p c = 5 × 10 −8 (Figure (Figure2A) 2A) and suggestive level of p c = 1 × 10 −6 (Figure (Figure2B) 2B) for each disease, assuming m * = 100,000 independent SNPs in a future GWAS. Also, Figure S1 shows K ^ with 95% confidence ...

  30. Steelers Pushing for WR Trade

    The Steelers have done some, but not much, homework on the top wide receivers in the NFL Draft. Despite meeting with many at the NFL Combine, the team has only brought in six names for pre-draft ...